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IPO初値予想:AnyMind Group(5027)【3/27更新】 AnyMind Group(5027) の東証グロースへの新規上場が承認されました。ここでは、AnyMind GroupのIPOに関する基本情報 から投資分析 、AIによる初値予測 など、詳細なデータをどこよりも早く公開します !!
1 企業の基本情報 企業概要 会社名 AnyMind Group(5027) 所在地 東京都港区六本木六丁目10番1号 従業員数 1,312人 業種 情報・通信業 事業概要 ブランド企業向けマーケティング支援、パブリッシャーおよびクリエイター向け収益化支援、D2C支援に関するプラットフォームとサービスの開発・提供
事業メモ
アジア全域でインフルエンサーマーケティング、モバイルマーケティング、デジタルマーケティング支援のプラットフォームを提供するほか、新しくブランドを立ち上げたいクリエイター向けには、企画から販売・物流までのバリューチェーン全体を支援する。また、データ解析、収益化支援、ユーザーエンゲージメント向上支援なども行う。
沿革 代表取締役 CEO 十河 宏輔
創業以来、当社は新しい市場、プロダクト、事業領域において、全速力で開拓を続けており、ブランド、パブリッシャー、クリエイターの多角的な成長を目指し、価値提供に努めてまいりました。
財務データ ▌主要な経営指標等の推移 決算期 -/- -/- 2019/12 2020/12 2021/12 売上高 – – 6,503 11,080 19,253 経常益 – – △359 △1046 △539 最終益 – – △349 △1151 △810 純資産 – – 612 △493 7,130 総資産 – – 6,987 11,479 13,403
※単位は百万円、19.12から連結決算
▌BPS(1株純資産) / EPS(1株利益) の推移
※株式分割/併合がある場合は遡及し算定。
株主の状況 株主名 持株比率 ロックアップ 十河 宏輔(社長) 37.22% 360日 小堤 音彦 9.54% 360日 ㈱SMBC信託銀行(特定運用金外信託 未来創生2号ファンド) 6.78% 180日 JATF VI (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 6.64% 180日/1.5倍 JAFCO Asia Technology Fund VII Pte. Ltd. 4.81% 180日/1.5倍 JIC ベンチャー・グロース・ファンド1号LPS 3.92% 180日 JPインベストメント1号LPS 2.86% 180日 日本グロースキャピタル投資法人 2.42% 180日 渡邊 久憲 1.86% 360日 大川 敬三 1.71% 継続保有 上記以外 22.24%
(LPS:投資事業有限責任組合)
▌現在の株式総数と株主構成 株式総数:62,864.1 千株 (2023年2月28日現在)
?
51.8 % – % 14.6 % 33.6 % 32,537.4 千株 – 千株 9,188.8 千株 21,137.9 千株
※新株予約権による潜在株式(6,763.2千株)を含む。
2 IPOの基本情報 スケジュール 上場承認日 2月28日(火) 抽選申込期間 3月13日(月)~3月17日(金) 当選発表日 3月20日(月) 購入申込期間 3月22日(水)~3月27日(月) 上場日 3月29日(水)
※証券会社によってスケジュールは異なります。
SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 3 5 3 6 3 7 3 8 3 9 3 10 3 11 3 12 3 13 3 14 3 15 3 16 3 17 3 18 3 19 3 20 3 21 3 22 3 23 3 24 3 25 3 26 3 27 3 28 3 29 3 30 3 31 4 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 7 4 8
( 抽選申込 当選発表 購入申込 上場日 )
公開株数 公募株 ?資金調達などを目的に企業が新たに投資家を募集する株式。 885,300 株 内訳 (新規発行) ?公募株のうち、上場により新たに発行する株式。 885,300 株 (自己株式) ?公募株のうち、自社で保有する自社株式。 0 株 売出株 ?既存株主が売り出す株式。 2,207,600 株 内訳 (買取引受) ?売出株のうち、証券会社が株主から買い取って投資家に販売する分。 1,804,200 株 (OA) ?売出株のうち、公募・売出しの数量を超える需要があった場合、証券会社が対象企業の大株主等から一時的に株券を借りて、公募・売出しと同一条件で追加的に投資家に販売する分。公募・売出し数量の15%が上限。 403,400 株 公開株 ?新たに証券取引所に上場される企業の株式。OA分の株式を含む上場される株式の上限。 3,092,900 株
(IPO指標)
時価総額 ?上場時の想定時価総額。上場時の発行済み株式数と想定価格から算出。 資金調達 ?IPOにより企業が新たに調達する資金額。公募株数と想定価格から算出。資金調達額が大きいほど事業拡大にプラスに働くため、IPOの評価は高くなる。 OR ?オファリング・レシオ(OR)。発行済み株式数のどの程度を株式市場に放出するかを示す指標。一般的にORが低いほど株式の「レア度」が高まり、初値が高くなりやすい。20~30%が平均値。 公募比率 ?公募・売出し総株数に占める公募株の割合(OR分除く)。公募比率が高いほどIPOが事業拡大にプラスに働くため、IPOの評価は高くなる。 552.8 億円 8.6 億円 4.7 % 32.9 %
※時価総額と資金調達額は「想定価格」より算出。
▌上場後の株式総数と株主構成 ? ? ?
49.8 % – % 14.2 % 31.8 % 4.2 %
※新株予約権による潜在株式(6,763.2千株)を含む。
幹事証券と抽選本数 ▌幹事証券の引受株式数 証券会社 割当率 割当株数 みずほ証券(主幹事) 69.35% 2,145,000株 三菱UFJMS証券 25.00% 773,200株 SBI証券 1.74% 53,700株 大和証券 0.87% 27,000株 野村證券 0.87% 27,000株 松井証券 0.65% 20,100株 SMBC日興証券 0.65% 20,100株 岩井コスモ証券 0.43% 13,400株 岡三証券 0.43% 13,400株 合計 100% 3,092,900株
★ 委託販売による取扱株数(予想)
※取扱株数は過去実績を元に推定。
▌IPOの抽選割合と当選本数(予測) 8 %
個人 15,015本 抽選 1,652 本裁量 13,363 本
※抽選割合は過去実績を元に推定。1本=1単元。
star_half Rating IPOの評価と初値予想※★ 4以上 積極参加 ★ 2~3 参加 ★ 1 不参加
▌注目度・業績評価 事業領域は日本だけでなく東南アジア等グローバルに展開 しており、成長のポテンシャルは高い。前期(22.12)はインフルエンサーマーケティング及びパブリッシャーグロースが日本及びインド・中華圏で伸長し、売上収益は前期比で28.8%増、最終益は2.4億円の黒字転換。今期(23.12)もインフルエンサーマーケティング「AnyTag」などの伸長を見込み、売上収益は32.1%増、最終益は84百万円を見込む。
▌需給・価格評価 市場への供給額は30億円の中型案件 で、株主にVCが複数入っており、初値上昇は期待できない。想定価格が低めに設定されているため、買いに向かいやすい。
《IPOの評価指標》
供給額 ?投資家がIPOで吸収する金額。公開株数(公募+売出)と想定価格から算出。小さいほど初値は上昇しやすい。 成長率 ?直近の売上高成長率(売上高の前年比)。下段は情報・通信業(全市場)における成長率の中央値。 ROE ?直近の自己資本利益率(=最終益/純資産)。下段は情報・通信業(全市場)におけるROEの中央値。 PER ?想定価格を基準にした株価収益率。下段は情報・通信業(グロース)の単純PER(23.1末時点)。 PBR ?想定価格を基準にした株価純資産倍率。純資産はIPOによる増資分を含む。下段は情報・通信業(グロース)の単純PBR(23.1末時点)。 30.0 億円 73.8 % -11.4 % – 倍 206.4 倍
情報・通信 7.0 % 11.1 % 77.0 倍 4.4 倍
※下段は業種別の数値(成長率とROEは中央値)。
a a a
初値予想と結果 初値予想 (想定価格比) 1,000円 (3/27予想) (±0円 / ±0.0% ) 想定価格 ?正式には想定発行価格。企業の成長戦略や業績、類似企業の株価などを参考に、発行企業と主幹事証券によって設定される。公開価格を決定していくプロセスの目安となる。 970円 仮条件 ?公開価格がブックビルディング方式で決められる際、引受証券会社があらかじめ提示する価格帯。機関投資家や他の幹事証券会社等のヒアリング結果を勘案し、主幹事証券と発行企業によって決定される。 970円 ~ 1,000円 公開価格 ?株式を新規に公開した際の公募・売り出し価格。 1,000円 初値 ?証券取引所に上場後、最初に取引が成立した値段。 (公開価格比) 1,000円 (±0円 / ±0.0%)
▌AIの予測値(3/27更新) ▌初値騰落率の目安
±0.0 % +25.1 % +115.7 % +33.9 % (公開価格比) (公開価格比) マーケティ 中型
過去のIPO実績 ▌類似案件のIPO実績 銘柄名 騰落率 % 供給額 億 成長率 % ROE % トリドリ +82.2% 7.3 87.6% -1,614.8% AViC +24.1% 12.6 90.8% 23.0% CS-C +19.3% 19.4 -13.0% 3.8% ラバブルMG +284.5% 4.6 -20.5% -30.6%
▌マーケティングのIPO実績 (広告やプロモーションなどマーケティング) (2023/4/3 現在)
マーケティングの直近IPO
コード/銘柄 上場日 初値騰落率 5027 AnyMind 2022/12/19 ±0.0 %5244 jig.jp 2022/9/28 +40.0 %5242 アイズ 2022/12/21 +134.5 %9337 トリドリ 2022/12/19 +82.2 %9561 グラッドキューブ 2022/9/28 +56.3 %
▌中型のIPO実績 (中型:供給額20~50億円未満のIPO) (2023/4/3 現在)
中型の直近IPO
コード/銘柄 上場日 初値騰落率 5027 AnyMind 2023/3/29 ±0.0 %9346 ココルポート 2023/3/31 +31.3 %5255 モンスターラボ 2023/3/28 +45.8 %5254 Arent 2023/3/28 +25.1 %7120 SHINKO 2023/3/22 +2.3 %
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